TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lathrop | Plattsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 33.0 | 24.0 |
| PA / GAME | 16.0 | 28.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +17.6 | -2.4 |
| SOS | -3.0 | +3.8 |
| POWER | +16.5 | -1.1 |
LATHROP WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lathrop finished the job, as Lathrop and Plattsburg finished 32-13. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 33-18 final.
The actual margin was 19 points versus MOFO's 14.4-point projection. That produced a 4.6-point margin error, with score errors of 0.5 for Lathrop and 5.1 for Plattsburg.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LATHROP
MOFO leans toward Lathrop because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.4-point margin, with Lathrop carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Lathrop enters at 33.0 points per game compared with 24.0 for Plattsburg. Lathrop also allows 12.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.0 for Lathrop and +3.8 for Plattsburg. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Lathrop owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Plattsburg has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.