TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Stanberry | Pattonsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 52.5 | 20.9 |
| PA / GAME | 36.9 | 54.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +22.3 | -34.0 |
| SOS | -3.4 | +2.2 |
| POWER | +21.1 | -33.2 |
STANBERRY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Stanberry finished the job, as Stanberry and Pattonsburg finished 62-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 59-23 final.
The actual margin was 62 points versus MOFO's 36.3-point projection. That produced a 25.7-point margin error, with score errors of 2.7 for Stanberry and 22.9 for Pattonsburg.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD STANBERRY
MOFO leans toward Stanberry because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 54.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 36.3-point margin, with Stanberry carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Stanberry enters at 52.5 points per game compared with 20.9 for Pattonsburg. Stanberry also allows 17.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.4 for Stanberry and +2.2 for Pattonsburg. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Stanberry owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Pattonsburg has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 54.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.