TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Blue Springs South | Park Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 25.5 | 23.0 |
| PA / GAME | 23.9 | 29.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.9 | -9.7 |
| SOS | +8.2 | +1.9 |
| POWER | +5.7 | -9.1 |
BLUE SPRINGS SOUTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Blue Springs South finished the job, as Blue Springs South and Park Hill finished 45-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-22 final.
The actual margin was 31 points versus MOFO's 7.7-point projection. That produced a 23.3-point margin error, with score errors of 15.6 for Blue Springs South and 7.7 for Park Hill.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BLUE SPRINGS SOUTH
MOFO leans toward Blue Springs South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.7-point margin, with Blue Springs South carrying a 74% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Blue Springs South enters at 25.5 points per game compared with 23.0 for Park Hill. Blue Springs South also allows 5.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +8.2 for Blue Springs South and +1.9 for Park Hill. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Blue Springs South owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Blue Springs South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.