TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lee's Summit North | Oak Park |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 25.7 | 28.2 |
| PA / GAME | 18.4 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +10.4 | +4.1 |
| SOS | +0.2 | +3.5 |
| POWER | +10.5 | +5.4 |
LEE'S SUMMIT NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lee's Summit North finished the job, as Lee's Summit North and Oak Park finished 56-13. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-23 final.
The actual margin was 43 points versus MOFO's 2.5-point projection. That produced a 40.5-point margin error, with score errors of 30.7 for Lee's Summit North and 9.8 for Oak Park.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LEE'S SUMMIT NORTH
MOFO leans toward Lee's Summit North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.5-point margin, with Lee's Summit North carrying a 58% win probability.
Oak Park actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Lee's Summit North also allows 5.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.2 for Lee's Summit North and +3.5 for Oak Park. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Oak Park owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Oak Park has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.