TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Manhattan Eagles | Northland Christian |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 28.3 | 29.0 |
| PA / GAME | 23.2 | 36.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +7.2 | -12.7 |
| SOS | +2.2 | -2.1 |
| POWER | +7.9 | -13.4 |
NORTHLAND CHRISTIAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Northland Christian finished the job, as Manhattan Eagles and Northland Christian finished 26-30. MOFO's pick of Manhattan Eagles missed; the model had projected a 35-24 final.
The actual margin was 4 points versus MOFO's 11.2-point projection. That produced a 15.2-point margin error, with score errors of 8.9 for Manhattan Eagles and 6.3 for Northland Christian.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MANHATTAN EAGLES
MOFO leans toward Manhattan Eagles because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 21.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.2-point margin, with Manhattan Eagles carrying a 82% win probability.
Northland Christian actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Manhattan Eagles also allows 13.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.2 for Manhattan Eagles and -2.1 for Northland Christian. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Northland Christian owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Manhattan Eagles has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 21.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.