TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Central (Kansas City) | Northeast (Kansas City) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 21.2 | 15.9 |
| PA / GAME | 17.2 | 34.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +7.5 | -17.9 |
| SOS | -3.7 | +6.8 |
| POWER | +6.2 | -15.5 |
CENTRAL (KANSAS CITY) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Central (Kansas City) finished the job, as Central (Kansas City) and Northeast (Kansas City) finished 26-13. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-14 final.
The actual margin was 13 points versus MOFO's 15.9-point projection. That produced a 2.9-point margin error, with score errors of 4.2 for Central (Kansas City) and 1.3 for Northeast (Kansas City).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CENTRAL (KANSAS CITY)
MOFO leans toward Central (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 21.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.9-point margin, with Central (Kansas City) carrying a 89% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Central (Kansas City) enters at 21.2 points per game compared with 15.9 for Northeast (Kansas City). Central (Kansas City) also allows 17.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.7 for Central (Kansas City) and +6.8 for Northeast (Kansas City). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Central (Kansas City) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Northeast (Kansas City) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 21.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.