TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | St. Joseph Christian | North Andrew |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| PF / GAME | 36.2 | 37.9 |
| PA / GAME | 34.9 | 31.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.7 | +5.7 |
| SOS | +6.3 | -8.4 |
| POWER | +5.9 | +2.8 |
NORTH ANDREW WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Andrew finished the job, as St. Joseph Christian and North Andrew finished 12-54. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-36 final.
The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 0.9-point projection. That produced a 41.1-point margin error, with score errors of 22.7 for St. Joseph Christian and 18.5 for North Andrew.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH ANDREW
MOFO leans toward North Andrew because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.9-point margin, with North Andrew carrying a 53% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Andrew enters at 37.9 points per game compared with 36.2 for St. Joseph Christian. North Andrew also allows 3.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.4 for North Andrew and +6.3 for St. Joseph Christian. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01North Andrew owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. Joseph Christian has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.