TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Highland | Monroe City |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 16.9 | 25.9 |
| PA / GAME | 41.2 | 19.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | -31.2 | +7.1 |
| SOS | +6.5 | +1.5 |
| POWER | -28.9 | +7.6 |
MONROE CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Monroe City finished the job, as Highland and Monroe City finished 6-52. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 14-38 final.
The actual margin was 46 points versus MOFO's 23.4-point projection. That produced a 22.6-point margin error, with score errors of 8.2 for Highland and 14.4 for Monroe City.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MONROE CITY
MOFO leans toward Monroe City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 36.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 23.4-point margin, with Monroe City carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Monroe City enters at 25.9 points per game compared with 16.9 for Highland. Monroe City also allows 21.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.5 for Monroe City and +6.5 for Highland. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Monroe City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Highland has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 36.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.