TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Maysville | Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 16.5 | 15.8 |
| PA / GAME | 30.0 | 36.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -19.7 | -30.7 |
| SOS | +9.2 | +5.9 |
| POWER | -16.4 | -28.6 |
MAYSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Maysville finished the job, as Maysville and Milan finished 40-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-21 final.
The actual margin was 40 points versus MOFO's 6.3-point projection. That produced a 33.7-point margin error, with score errors of 12.2 for Maysville and 21.5 for Milan.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MAYSVILLE
MOFO leans toward Maysville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 12.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 6.3-point margin, with Maysville carrying a 70% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Maysville enters at 16.5 points per game compared with 15.8 for Milan. Maysville also allows 6.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +9.2 for Maysville and +5.9 for Milan. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Maysville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Maysville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 12.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.