TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | West Platte | Mid-Buchanan |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| PF / GAME | 36.0 | 43.7 |
| PA / GAME | 22.5 | 15.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.7 | +33.1 |
| SOS | -6.9 | -1.5 |
| POWER | +17.3 | +32.6 |
MID-BUCHANAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Mid-Buchanan finished the job, as West Platte and Mid-Buchanan finished 0-42. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-35 final.
The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 10.8-point projection. That produced a 31.2-point margin error, with score errors of 24.1 for West Platte and 7.1 for Mid-Buchanan.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MID-BUCHANAN
MOFO leans toward Mid-Buchanan because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 10.8-point margin, with Mid-Buchanan carrying a 81% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Mid-Buchanan enters at 43.7 points per game compared with 36.0 for West Platte. Mid-Buchanan also allows 6.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.5 for Mid-Buchanan and -6.9 for West Platte. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Mid-Buchanan owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Mid-Buchanan has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.