TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Parkview | Marshfield |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 15.8 | 28.0 |
| PA / GAME | 32.2 | 26.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -21.7 | +0.8 |
| SOS | -3.6 | -3.0 |
| POWER | -22.9 | -0.2 |
MARSHFIELD WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Marshfield finished the job, as Parkview and Marshfield finished 21-55. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 18-33 final.
The actual margin was 34 points versus MOFO's 14.2-point projection. That produced a 19.8-point margin error, with score errors of 2.5 for Parkview and 22.3 for Marshfield.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MARSHFIELD
MOFO leans toward Marshfield because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 22.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.2-point margin, with Marshfield carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Marshfield enters at 28.0 points per game compared with 15.8 for Parkview. Marshfield also allows 6.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.0 for Marshfield and -3.6 for Parkview. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Marshfield owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Marshfield has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 22.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.