TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cole Camp | Lone Jack with Kingsville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 19.9 | 16.0 |
| PA / GAME | 27.2 | 33.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -8.1 | -23.0 |
| SOS | +9.1 | +1.8 |
| POWER | -4.9 | -22.4 |
COLE CAMP WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Cole Camp finished the job, as Cole Camp and Lone Jack with Kingsville finished 15-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-19 final.
The actual margin was 8 points versus MOFO's 9.9-point projection. That produced a 1.9-point margin error, with score errors of 14.1 for Cole Camp and 12.2 for Lone Jack with Kingsville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD COLE CAMP
MOFO leans toward Cole Camp because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.9-point margin, with Cole Camp carrying a 79% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Cole Camp enters at 19.9 points per game compared with 16.0 for Lone Jack with Kingsville. Cole Camp also allows 6.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +9.1 for Cole Camp and +1.8 for Lone Jack with Kingsville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Cole Camp owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cole Camp has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.