TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Raymore-Peculiar | Lee's Summit |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 33.5 | 18.7 |
| PA / GAME | 21.7 | 21.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +16.8 | -5.3 |
| SOS | -2.2 | +10.5 |
| POWER | +16.0 | -1.6 |
LEE'S SUMMIT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lee's Summit finished the job, as Raymore-Peculiar and Lee's Summit finished 14-21. MOFO's pick of Raymore-Peculiar missed; the model had projected a 29-19 final.
The actual margin was 7 points versus MOFO's 10.8-point projection. That produced a 17.8-point margin error, with score errors of 15.4 for Raymore-Peculiar and 2.5 for Lee's Summit.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RAYMORE-PECULIAR
MOFO leans toward Raymore-Peculiar because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 10.8-point margin, with Raymore-Peculiar carrying a 81% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Raymore-Peculiar enters at 33.5 points per game compared with 18.7 for Lee's Summit. Raymore-Peculiar also allows 0.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.2 for Raymore-Peculiar and +10.5 for Lee's Summit. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Raymore-Peculiar owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lee's Summit has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.