TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Riverview Gardens | Hazelwood Central |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| PF / GAME | 23.5 | 10.7 |
| PA / GAME | 32.4 | 36.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -9.5 | -29.1 |
| SOS | +7.2 | +3.9 |
| POWER | -7.0 | -27.8 |
HAZELWOOD CENTRAL WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hazelwood Central finished the job, as Riverview Gardens and Hazelwood Central finished 0-13. MOFO's pick of Riverview Gardens missed; the model had projected a 32-19 final.
The actual margin was 13 points versus MOFO's 12.4-point projection. That produced a 25.4-point margin error, with score errors of 31.9 for Riverview Gardens and 6.4 for Hazelwood Central.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RIVERVIEW GARDENS
MOFO leans toward Riverview Gardens because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.4-point margin, with Riverview Gardens carrying a 84% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Riverview Gardens enters at 23.5 points per game compared with 10.7 for Hazelwood Central. Riverview Gardens also allows 3.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +7.2 for Riverview Gardens and +3.9 for Hazelwood Central. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Riverview Gardens owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Riverview Gardens has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.