TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Platte County | Grain Valley |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| PF / GAME | 35.2 | 26.0 |
| PA / GAME | 17.7 | 26.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +21.1 | -1.5 |
| SOS | -5.5 | +8.1 |
| POWER | +19.2 | +1.3 |
GRAIN VALLEY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Grain Valley finished the job, as Platte County and Grain Valley finished 19-25. MOFO's pick of Platte County missed; the model had projected a 32-20 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 12.4-point projection. That produced a 18.4-point margin error, with score errors of 13.4 for Platte County and 5.0 for Grain Valley.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PLATTE COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Platte County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 12.4-point margin, with Platte County carrying a 84% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Platte County enters at 35.2 points per game compared with 26.0 for Grain Valley. Platte County also allows 8.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.5 for Platte County and +8.1 for Grain Valley. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Platte County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Grain Valley has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.