TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Waynesville | Glendale |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 20.2 | 27.5 |
| PA / GAME | 38.0 | 33.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -25.5 | -11.8 |
| SOS | +4.2 | +8.6 |
| POWER | -24.1 | -8.8 |
GLENDALE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Glendale finished the job, as Waynesville and Glendale finished 14-44. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-35 final.
The actual margin was 30 points versus MOFO's 10.0-point projection. That produced a 20.0-point margin error, with score errors of 10.7 for Waynesville and 9.3 for Glendale.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GLENDALE
MOFO leans toward Glendale because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 10.0-point margin, with Glendale carrying a 79% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Glendale enters at 27.5 points per game compared with 20.2 for Waynesville. Glendale also allows 4.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +8.6 for Glendale and +4.2 for Waynesville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Glendale owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Glendale has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.