TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Confluence Prep Academy Charter | Gateway with Soldan International Studies |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 17.5 | 26.2 |
| PA / GAME | 48.0 | 20.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -33.1 | +9.0 |
| SOS | -3.9 | -2.1 |
| POWER | -34.5 | +8.3 |
GATEWAY WITH SOLDAN INTERNATIONAL STUDIES WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Gateway with Soldan International Studies finished the job, as Confluence Prep Academy Charter and Gateway with Soldan International Studies finished 0-64. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 14-42 final.
The actual margin was 64 points versus MOFO's 27.4-point projection. That produced a 36.6-point margin error, with score errors of 14.4 for Confluence Prep Academy Charter and 22.2 for Gateway with Soldan International Studies.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GATEWAY WITH SOLDAN INTERNATIONAL STUDIES
MOFO leans toward Gateway with Soldan International Studies because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 42.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 27.4-point margin, with Gateway with Soldan International Studies carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Gateway with Soldan International Studies enters at 26.2 points per game compared with 17.5 for Confluence Prep Academy Charter. Gateway with Soldan International Studies also allows 27.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.1 for Gateway with Soldan International Studies and -3.9 for Confluence Prep Academy Charter. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Gateway with Soldan International Studies owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Gateway with Soldan International Studies has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 42.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.