TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hallsville | Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 31.4 | 21.2 |
| PA / GAME | 26.9 | 27.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +6.3 | -6.5 |
| SOS | +13.6 | -2.1 |
| POWER | +11.0 | -7.2 |
HALLSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Hallsville finished the job, as Hallsville and Fulton finished 41-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 32-22 final.
The actual margin was 34 points versus MOFO's 9.7-point projection. That produced a 24.3-point margin error, with score errors of 9.4 for Hallsville and 14.9 for Fulton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HALLSVILLE
MOFO leans toward Hallsville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.7-point margin, with Hallsville carrying a 79% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Hallsville enters at 31.4 points per game compared with 21.2 for Fulton. Hallsville also allows 0.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +13.6 for Hallsville and -2.1 for Fulton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Hallsville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Hallsville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.