TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Dexter | East Prairie |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 27.5 | 10.5 |
| PA / GAME | 23.7 | 30.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +1.7 | -25.1 |
| SOS | +3.3 | -4.6 |
| POWER | +2.8 | -26.7 |
DEXTER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Dexter finished the job, as Dexter and East Prairie finished 54-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 32-14 final.
The actual margin was 54 points versus MOFO's 18.8-point projection. That produced a 35.2-point margin error, with score errors of 21.6 for Dexter and 13.6 for East Prairie.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD DEXTER
MOFO leans toward Dexter because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 29.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.8-point margin, with Dexter carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Dexter enters at 27.5 points per game compared with 10.5 for East Prairie. Dexter also allows 6.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.3 for Dexter and -4.6 for East Prairie. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Dexter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Dexter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 29.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.