TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Potosi | Central (Park Hills) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| PF / GAME | 26.7 | 16.0 |
| PA / GAME | 22.0 | 34.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +6.7 | -18.3 |
| SOS | +1.2 | +14.9 |
| POWER | +7.1 | -13.1 |
CENTRAL (PARK HILLS) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Central (Park Hills) finished the job, as Potosi and Central (Park Hills) finished 29-43. MOFO's pick of Potosi missed; the model had projected a 32-17 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 15.2-point projection. That produced a 29.2-point margin error, with score errors of 3.3 for Potosi and 25.9 for Central (Park Hills).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD POTOSI
MOFO leans toward Potosi because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 20.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.2-point margin, with Potosi carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Potosi enters at 26.7 points per game compared with 16.0 for Central (Park Hills). Potosi also allows 12.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.2 for Potosi and +14.9 for Central (Park Hills). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Potosi owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Central (Park Hills) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 20.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.