TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | North Andrew | Worth County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 41.0 | 33.0 |
| PA / GAME | 24.2 | 21.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +19.7 | +13.7 |
| SOS | -21.1 | +1.7 |
| POWER | +12.3 | +14.2 |
WORTH COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Worth County finished the job, as North Andrew and Worth County finished 22-68. MOFO's pick of North Andrew missed; the model had projected a 31-29 final.
The actual margin was 46 points versus MOFO's 1.3-point projection. That produced a 47.3-point margin error, with score errors of 8.5 for North Andrew and 38.8 for Worth County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH ANDREW
MOFO leans toward North Andrew because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.3-point margin, with North Andrew carrying a 54% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Andrew enters at 41.0 points per game compared with 33.0 for Worth County. Worth County's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -21.1 for North Andrew and +1.7 for Worth County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01North Andrew owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Worth County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.