AWAY · 8-MANNew Heights Christian20FINAL SCORE
SEP 18VSFINALHOMEWelch (Okla.)46FINAL SCORE
MOFO PREDICTION: WELCH (OKLA.) BY 6 · PROJECTED NEW HEIGHTS CHRISTIAN 30–36 WELCH (OKLA.) · 70% WIN · MOFO NAILED IT
WELCH (OKLA.) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Welch (Okla.) finished the job, as New Heights Christian and Welch (Okla.) finished 20-46. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-36 final.
The actual margin was 26 points versus MOFO's 6.3-point projection. That produced a 19.7-point margin error, with score errors of 9.8 for New Heights Christian and 10.0 for Welch (Okla.).
WHY MOFO PICKED THEM
Season data is still thin, so MOFO is leaning on the statewide scoring baseline.