TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Christian Brothers College | Vianney |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 32.4 | 39.0 |
| PA / GAME | 34.4 | 26.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -3.3 | +8.0 |
| SOS | +14.5 | -2.8 |
| POWER | +1.7 | +7.0 |
CHRISTIAN BROTHERS COLLEGE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Christian Brothers College finished the job, as Christian Brothers College and Vianney finished 56-28. MOFO's pick of Vianney missed; the model had projected a 29-37 final.
The actual margin was 28 points versus MOFO's 7.6-point projection. That produced a 35.6-point margin error, with score errors of 26.7 for Christian Brothers College and 8.9 for Vianney.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD VIANNEY
MOFO leans toward Vianney because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.6-point margin, with Vianney carrying a 73% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Vianney enters at 39.0 points per game compared with 32.4 for Christian Brothers College. Vianney also allows 7.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.8 for Vianney and +14.5 for Christian Brothers College. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Vianney owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Christian Brothers College has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.