TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ruskin | Truman |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 23.4 | 13.6 |
| PA / GAME | 40.0 | 45.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -24.7 | -35.0 |
| SOS | -0.9 | +3.4 |
| POWER | -25.0 | -33.8 |
RUSKIN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Ruskin finished the job, as Ruskin and Truman finished 41-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-26 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 9.6-point projection. That produced a 25.4-point margin error, with score errors of 5.5 for Ruskin and 19.9 for Truman.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RUSKIN
MOFO leans toward Ruskin because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 8.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.6-point margin, with Ruskin carrying a 78% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Ruskin enters at 23.4 points per game compared with 13.6 for Truman. Ruskin also allows 5.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.9 for Ruskin and +3.4 for Truman. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Ruskin owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Truman has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 8.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.