TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Blue Springs South | Staley |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 23.2 | 26.8 |
| PA / GAME | 27.4 | 19.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -7.0 | +12.3 |
| SOS | +11.8 | -3.6 |
| POWER | -2.9 | +11.1 |
BLUE SPRINGS SOUTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Blue Springs South finished the job, as Blue Springs South and Staley finished 37-6. MOFO's pick of Staley missed; the model had projected a 20-28 final.
The actual margin was 31 points versus MOFO's 8.3-point projection. That produced a 39.3-point margin error, with score errors of 17.0 for Blue Springs South and 22.3 for Staley.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD STALEY
MOFO leans toward Staley because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 13.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.3-point margin, with Staley carrying a 75% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Staley enters at 26.8 points per game compared with 23.2 for Blue Springs South. Staley also allows 8.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.6 for Staley and +11.8 for Blue Springs South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Staley owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Blue Springs South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 13.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.