ST. PIUS X (KANSAS CITY) WRITES THE FINAL WORD

St. Pius X (Kansas City) finished the job, as Hayden Catholic (KS) and St. Pius X (Kansas City) finished 12-57. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-28 final.

The actual margin was 45 points versus MOFO's 4.3-point projection. That produced a 40.7-point margin error, with score errors of 11.2 for Hayden Catholic (KS) and 29.4 for St. Pius X (Kansas City).

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ST. PIUS X (KANSAS CITY)

MOFO leans toward St. Pius X (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.3-point margin, with St. Pius X (Kansas City) carrying a 64% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: St. Pius X (Kansas City) enters at 33.0 points per game compared with 32.5 for Hayden Catholic (KS). St. Pius X (Kansas City) also allows 7.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +2.7 for St. Pius X (Kansas City) and +4.7 for Hayden Catholic (KS). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.