TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | East (Kansas City) | Sherwood |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 15.4 | 18.4 |
| PA / GAME | 34.4 | 18.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -29.0 | +0.7 |
| SOS | -1.4 | -11.7 |
| POWER | -29.5 | -3.4 |
SHERWOOD WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Sherwood finished the job, as East (Kansas City) and Sherwood finished 6-71. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 14-29 final.
The actual margin was 65 points versus MOFO's 15.1-point projection. That produced a 49.9-point margin error, with score errors of 8.0 for East (Kansas City) and 41.9 for Sherwood.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SHERWOOD
MOFO leans toward Sherwood because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 26.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.1-point margin, with Sherwood carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Sherwood enters at 18.4 points per game compared with 15.4 for East (Kansas City). Sherwood also allows 16.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -11.7 for Sherwood and -1.4 for East (Kansas City). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Sherwood owns the stronger scoring profile.
02East (Kansas City) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 26.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.