TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Christ Preparatory (KS) | Savannah |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 21.7 | 34.0 |
| PA / GAME | 19.6 | 15.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.9 | +30.3 |
| SOS | -0.6 | -9.0 |
| POWER | +2.7 | +27.2 |
SAVANNAH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Savannah finished the job, as Christ Preparatory (KS) and Savannah finished 9-39. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 16-29 final.
The actual margin was 30 points versus MOFO's 13.5-point projection. That produced a 16.5-point margin error, with score errors of 6.9 for Christ Preparatory (KS) and 9.7 for Savannah.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SAVANNAH
MOFO leans toward Savannah because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.5-point margin, with Savannah carrying a 86% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Savannah enters at 34.0 points per game compared with 21.7 for Christ Preparatory (KS). Savannah also allows 4.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -9.0 for Savannah and -0.6 for Christ Preparatory (KS). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Savannah owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Christ Preparatory (KS) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.