TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Grandview | Raytown South |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 35.8 | 25.0 |
| PA / GAME | 24.4 | 21.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +11.7 | +5.3 |
| SOS | -20.2 | -7.0 |
| POWER | +4.6 | +2.9 |
RAYTOWN SOUTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Raytown South finished the job, as Grandview and Raytown South finished 7-34. MOFO's pick of Grandview missed; the model had projected a 29-25 final.
The actual margin was 27 points versus MOFO's 4.0-point projection. That produced a 31.0-point margin error, with score errors of 21.7 for Grandview and 9.3 for Raytown South.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GRANDVIEW
MOFO leans toward Grandview because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.0-point margin, with Grandview carrying a 63% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Grandview enters at 35.8 points per game compared with 25.0 for Raytown South. Raytown South's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -20.2 for Grandview and -7.0 for Raytown South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Grandview owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Raytown South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.