TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lee's Summit West | Raymore-Peculiar |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 33.4 |
| PA / GAME | 26.2 | 20.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -3.7 | +21.7 |
| SOS | +5.4 | -5.6 |
| POWER | -1.8 | +19.7 |
RAYMORE-PECULIAR WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Raymore-Peculiar finished the job, as Lee's Summit West and Raymore-Peculiar finished 28-34. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 20-32 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 11.9-point projection. That produced a 5.9-point margin error, with score errors of 8.0 for Lee's Summit West and 2.1 for Raymore-Peculiar.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RAYMORE-PECULIAR
MOFO leans toward Raymore-Peculiar because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 21.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.9-point margin, with Raymore-Peculiar carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Raymore-Peculiar enters at 33.4 points per game compared with 24.0 for Lee's Summit West. Raymore-Peculiar also allows 5.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.6 for Raymore-Peculiar and +5.4 for Lee's Summit West. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Raymore-Peculiar owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lee's Summit West has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 21.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.