TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Pattonsburg | Princeton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 25.0 | 30.4 |
| PA / GAME | 53.4 | 29.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -33.3 | +1.0 |
| SOS | +6.5 | +11.4 |
| POWER | -31.0 | +5.0 |
PRINCETON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Princeton finished the job, as Pattonsburg and Princeton finished 0-58. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-46 final.
The actual margin was 58 points versus MOFO's 22.6-point projection. That produced a 35.4-point margin error, with score errors of 23.3 for Pattonsburg and 12.1 for Princeton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PRINCETON
MOFO leans toward Princeton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 36.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 22.6-point margin, with Princeton carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Princeton enters at 30.4 points per game compared with 25.0 for Pattonsburg. Princeton also allows 23.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +11.4 for Princeton and +6.5 for Pattonsburg. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Princeton owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Princeton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 36.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.