TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Smithville | Platte County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 22.2 | 34.6 |
| PA / GAME | 32.0 | 17.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -14.0 | +22.3 |
| SOS | +18.0 | -3.8 |
| POWER | -7.7 | +21.0 |
PLATTE COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Platte County finished the job, as Smithville and Platte County finished 17-38. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 17-36 final.
The actual margin was 21 points versus MOFO's 18.8-point projection. That produced a 2.2-point margin error, with score errors of 0.2 for Smithville and 2.0 for Platte County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PLATTE COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Platte County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 28.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.8-point margin, with Platte County carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Platte County enters at 34.6 points per game compared with 22.2 for Smithville. Platte County also allows 14.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.8 for Platte County and +18.0 for Smithville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Platte County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Smithville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 28.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.