TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Seckman | Pattonville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 36.0 | 31.4 |
| PA / GAME | 23.6 | 17.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +20.3 | +20.0 |
| SOS | -6.6 | -8.6 |
| POWER | +18.0 | +17.0 |
PATTONVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Pattonville finished the job, as Seckman and Pattonville finished 0-35. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-28 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 0.7-point projection. That produced a 34.3-point margin error, with score errors of 26.8 for Seckman and 7.5 for Pattonville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PATTONVILLE
MOFO leans toward Pattonville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.7-point margin, with Pattonville carrying a 52% win probability.
Seckman actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Pattonville also allows 5.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -8.6 for Pattonville and -6.6 for Seckman. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Seckman owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Seckman has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.