TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Riverview Gardens | Parkway West |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.2 | 32.8 |
| PA / GAME | 28.8 | 17.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.7 | +23.3 |
| SOS | +6.0 | -7.1 |
| POWER | +4.8 | +20.9 |
PARKWAY WEST WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Parkway West finished the job, as Riverview Gardens and Parkway West finished 0-50. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-32 final.
The actual margin was 50 points versus MOFO's 11.0-point projection. That produced a 39.0-point margin error, with score errors of 21.2 for Riverview Gardens and 17.8 for Parkway West.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARKWAY WEST
MOFO leans toward Parkway West because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.0-point margin, with Parkway West carrying a 81% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Parkway West enters at 32.8 points per game compared with 28.2 for Riverview Gardens. Parkway West also allows 11.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.1 for Parkway West and +6.0 for Riverview Gardens. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Parkway West owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Riverview Gardens has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.