TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hazelwood Central | Parkway North |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 12.8 | 26.4 |
| PA / GAME | 36.2 | 25.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -27.7 | +2.0 |
| SOS | +4.4 | +1.1 |
| POWER | -26.1 | +2.4 |
PARKWAY NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Parkway North finished the job, as Hazelwood Central and Parkway North finished 0-35. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 16-34 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 18.7-point projection. That produced a 16.3-point margin error, with score errors of 15.7 for Hazelwood Central and 0.6 for Parkway North.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARKWAY NORTH
MOFO leans toward Parkway North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 28.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.7-point margin, with Parkway North carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Parkway North enters at 26.4 points per game compared with 12.8 for Hazelwood Central. Parkway North also allows 11.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.1 for Parkway North and +4.4 for Hazelwood Central. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Parkway North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Hazelwood Central has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 28.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.