TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Logan-Rogersville | Parkview |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| PF / GAME | 38.2 | 17.7 |
| PA / GAME | 17.6 | 24.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +27.7 | -13.0 |
| SOS | -5.7 | -9.5 |
| POWER | +25.7 | -16.3 |
LOGAN-ROGERSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Logan-Rogersville finished the job, as Logan-Rogersville and Parkview finished 58-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 36-13 final.
The actual margin was 52 points versus MOFO's 23.2-point projection. That produced a 28.8-point margin error, with score errors of 21.9 for Logan-Rogersville and 6.9 for Parkview.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LOGAN-ROGERSVILLE
MOFO leans toward Logan-Rogersville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 42.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 23.2-point margin, with Logan-Rogersville carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Logan-Rogersville enters at 38.2 points per game compared with 17.7 for Parkview. Logan-Rogersville also allows 7.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.7 for Logan-Rogersville and -9.5 for Parkview. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Logan-Rogersville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Logan-Rogersville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 42.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.