TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Liberty | Park Hill South |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 28.6 |
| PA / GAME | 35.8 | 28.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -19.7 | -1.0 |
| SOS | +10.0 | +5.7 |
| POWER | -16.1 | +1.0 |
LIBERTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Liberty finished the job, as Liberty and Park Hill South finished 48-7. MOFO's pick of Park Hill South missed; the model had projected a 24-34 final.
The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 9.8-point projection. That produced a 50.8-point margin error, with score errors of 23.8 for Liberty and 27.0 for Park Hill South.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARK HILL SOUTH
MOFO leans toward Park Hill South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.8-point margin, with Park Hill South carrying a 79% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Park Hill South enters at 28.6 points per game compared with 24.0 for Liberty. Park Hill South also allows 7.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +5.7 for Park Hill South and +10.0 for Liberty. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Park Hill South owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Liberty has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.