TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Richmond | Odessa |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 32.2 | 34.8 |
| PA / GAME | 25.4 | 16.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +10.3 | +22.3 |
| SOS | +2.9 | -7.5 |
| POWER | +11.4 | +19.7 |
ODESSA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Odessa finished the job, as Richmond and Odessa finished 8-53. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-31 final.
The actual margin was 45 points versus MOFO's 7.1-point projection. That produced a 37.9-point margin error, with score errors of 15.7 for Richmond and 22.2 for Odessa.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ODESSA
MOFO leans toward Odessa because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 8.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.1-point margin, with Odessa carrying a 72% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Odessa enters at 34.8 points per game compared with 32.2 for Richmond. Odessa also allows 8.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.5 for Odessa and +2.9 for Richmond. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Odessa owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Richmond has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 8.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.