TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ft. Zumwalt East | North Point |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 32.2 | 27.4 |
| PA / GAME | 27.4 | 39.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.3 | -20.0 |
| SOS | +0.2 | +3.3 |
| POWER | +5.4 | -18.8 |
NORTH POINT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
North Point finished the job, as Ft. Zumwalt East and North Point finished 21-42. MOFO's pick of Ft. Zumwalt East missed; the model had projected a 38-25 final.
The actual margin was 21 points versus MOFO's 13.7-point projection. That produced a 34.7-point margin error, with score errors of 17.5 for Ft. Zumwalt East and 17.2 for North Point.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FT. ZUMWALT EAST
MOFO leans toward Ft. Zumwalt East because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.7-point margin, with Ft. Zumwalt East carrying a 86% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Ft. Zumwalt East enters at 32.2 points per game compared with 27.4 for North Point. Ft. Zumwalt East also allows 12.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.2 for Ft. Zumwalt East and +3.3 for North Point. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Ft. Zumwalt East owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North Point has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.