TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | McCluer | Normandy Collaborative |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 15.8 | 24.4 |
| PA / GAME | 27.8 | 19.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -20.0 | +3.0 |
| SOS | +13.0 | -3.2 |
| POWER | -15.4 | +1.9 |
MCCLUER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
McCluer finished the job, as McCluer and Normandy Collaborative finished 22-8. MOFO's pick of Normandy Collaborative missed; the model had projected a 16-28 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 11.5-point projection. That produced a 25.5-point margin error, with score errors of 5.8 for McCluer and 19.7 for Normandy Collaborative.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORMANDY COLLABORATIVE
MOFO leans toward Normandy Collaborative because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.5-point margin, with Normandy Collaborative carrying a 82% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Normandy Collaborative enters at 24.4 points per game compared with 15.8 for McCluer. Normandy Collaborative also allows 8.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.2 for Normandy Collaborative and +13.0 for McCluer. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Normandy Collaborative owns the stronger scoring profile.
02McCluer has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.