TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Russellville | Missouri Military Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| PF / GAME | 36.0 | 16.3 |
| PA / GAME | 14.8 | 38.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +33.3 | -30.6 |
| SOS | -20.5 | +6.3 |
| POWER | +26.1 | -28.4 |
RUSSELLVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Russellville finished the job, as Russellville and Missouri Military Academy finished 54-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 43-10 final.
The actual margin was 54 points versus MOFO's 32.9-point projection. That produced a 21.1-point margin error, with score errors of 11.1 for Russellville and 10.0 for Missouri Military Academy.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RUSSELLVILLE
MOFO leans toward Russellville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 54.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 32.9-point margin, with Russellville carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Russellville enters at 36.0 points per game compared with 16.3 for Missouri Military Academy. Russellville also allows 24.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -20.5 for Russellville and +6.3 for Missouri Military Academy. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Russellville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Missouri Military Academy has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 54.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.