TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Plattsburg | Mid-Buchanan |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.8 | 41.4 |
| PA / GAME | 22.8 | 19.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +10.0 | +32.7 |
| SOS | -3.9 | -3.3 |
| POWER | +8.6 | +31.5 |
MID-BUCHANAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Mid-Buchanan finished the job, as Plattsburg and Mid-Buchanan finished 0-55. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-35 final.
The actual margin was 55 points versus MOFO's 13.3-point projection. That produced a 41.7-point margin error, with score errors of 21.3 for Plattsburg and 20.4 for Mid-Buchanan.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MID-BUCHANAN
MOFO leans toward Mid-Buchanan because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 22.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.3-point margin, with Mid-Buchanan carrying a 85% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Mid-Buchanan enters at 41.4 points per game compared with 28.8 for Plattsburg. Mid-Buchanan also allows 3.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.3 for Mid-Buchanan and -3.9 for Plattsburg. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Mid-Buchanan owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Mid-Buchanan has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 22.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.