TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Oakville | McCluer North |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.0 | 26.8 |
| PA / GAME | 22.2 | 13.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +4.7 | +21.7 |
| SOS | -0.9 | -7.4 |
| POWER | +4.4 | +19.1 |
OAKVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Oakville finished the job, as Oakville and McCluer North finished 39-16. MOFO's pick of McCluer North missed; the model had projected a 18-26 final.
The actual margin was 23 points versus MOFO's 8.0-point projection. That produced a 31.0-point margin error, with score errors of 21.2 for Oakville and 9.8 for McCluer North.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MCCLUER NORTH
MOFO leans toward McCluer North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.0-point margin, with McCluer North carrying a 74% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: McCluer North enters at 26.8 points per game compared with 25.0 for Oakville. McCluer North also allows 8.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.4 for McCluer North and -0.9 for Oakville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01McCluer North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Oakville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.