TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Maysville | Marceline |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| PF / GAME | 19.8 | 26.8 |
| PA / GAME | 34.6 | 30.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -24.7 | -5.3 |
| SOS | +10.8 | +4.7 |
| POWER | -20.9 | -3.7 |
MARCELINE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Marceline finished the job, as Maysville and Marceline finished 0-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-32 final.
The actual margin was 7 points versus MOFO's 9.4-point projection. That produced a 2.4-point margin error, with score errors of 23.1 for Maysville and 25.5 for Marceline.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MARCELINE
MOFO leans toward Marceline because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.4-point margin, with Marceline carrying a 78% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Marceline enters at 26.8 points per game compared with 19.8 for Maysville. Marceline also allows 4.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +4.7 for Marceline and +10.8 for Maysville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Marceline owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Maysville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.