TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lift for Life Academy Charter | Lutheran St. Charles |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 15.4 | 13.4 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 49.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -13.0 | -35.0 |
| SOS | +11.3 | +12.5 |
| POWER | -9.0 | -30.6 |
LIFT FOR LIFE ACADEMY CHARTER WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Lift for Life Academy Charter finished the job, as Lift for Life Academy Charter and Lutheran St. Charles finished 49-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 35-16 final.
The actual margin was 49 points versus MOFO's 18.6-point projection. That produced a 30.4-point margin error, with score errors of 14.1 for Lift for Life Academy Charter and 16.3 for Lutheran St. Charles.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIFT FOR LIFE ACADEMY CHARTER
MOFO leans toward Lift for Life Academy Charter because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 21.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 18.6-point margin, with Lift for Life Academy Charter carrying a 92% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Lift for Life Academy Charter enters at 15.4 points per game compared with 13.4 for Lutheran St. Charles. Lift for Life Academy Charter also allows 25.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +11.3 for Lift for Life Academy Charter and +12.5 for Lutheran St. Charles. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Lift for Life Academy Charter owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lutheran St. Charles has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 21.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.