TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Wright City | Louisiana |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| PF / GAME | 17.4 | 34.6 |
| PA / GAME | 35.4 | 17.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -29.7 | +27.0 |
| SOS | +10.4 | -12.8 |
| POWER | -26.0 | +22.5 |
LOUISIANA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Louisiana finished the job, as Wright City and Louisiana finished 27-41. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 13-40 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 27.2-point projection. That produced a 13.2-point margin error, with score errors of 14.3 for Wright City and 1.1 for Louisiana.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LOUISIANA
MOFO leans toward Louisiana because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 48.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 27.2-point margin, with Louisiana carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Louisiana enters at 34.6 points per game compared with 17.4 for Wright City. Louisiana also allows 17.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -12.8 for Louisiana and +10.4 for Wright City. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Louisiana owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Wright City has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 48.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.