TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Francis Howell North | Liberty (Wentzville) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 13.0 | 22.6 |
| PA / GAME | 35.6 | 28.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -28.0 | -9.0 |
| SOS | +14.4 | +3.5 |
| POWER | -23.0 | -7.8 |
LIBERTY (WENTZVILLE) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Liberty (Wentzville) finished the job, as Francis Howell North and Liberty (Wentzville) finished 0-63. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-31 final.
The actual margin was 63 points versus MOFO's 11.6-point projection. That produced a 51.4-point margin error, with score errors of 19.0 for Francis Howell North and 32.4 for Liberty (Wentzville).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIBERTY (WENTZVILLE)
MOFO leans toward Liberty (Wentzville) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 15.2-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.6-point margin, with Liberty (Wentzville) carrying a 82% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Liberty (Wentzville) enters at 22.6 points per game compared with 13.0 for Francis Howell North. Liberty (Wentzville) also allows 7.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.5 for Liberty (Wentzville) and +14.4 for Francis Howell North. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Liberty (Wentzville) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Francis Howell North has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 15.2-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.