TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Monett | Knob Noster with Leeton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 26.2 | 15.2 |
| PA / GAME | 32.2 | 41.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | -10.0 | -35.0 |
| SOS | +9.0 | -1.3 |
| POWER | -6.8 | -35.5 |
MONETT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Monett finished the job, as Monett and Knob Noster with Leeton finished 54-8. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 37-20 final.
The actual margin was 46 points versus MOFO's 16.7-point projection. That produced a 29.3-point margin error, with score errors of 17.0 for Monett and 12.3 for Knob Noster with Leeton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MONETT
MOFO leans toward Monett because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 28.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 16.7-point margin, with Monett carrying a 90% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Monett enters at 26.2 points per game compared with 15.2 for Knob Noster with Leeton. Monett also allows 9.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +9.0 for Monett and -1.3 for Knob Noster with Leeton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01Monett owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Monett has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 28.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.