TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | University City | Jennings |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| PF / GAME | 42.0 | 23.8 |
| PA / GAME | 16.1 | 25.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +31.4 | -2.0 |
| SOS | -24.3 | -15.6 |
| POWER | +22.9 | -7.5 |
UNIVERSITY CITY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
University City finished the job, as University City and Jennings finished 22-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 37-17 final.
The actual margin was 22 points versus MOFO's 19.9-point projection. That produced a 2.1-point margin error, with score errors of 14.7 for University City and 16.8 for Jennings.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD UNIVERSITY CITY
MOFO leans toward University City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 30.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.9-point margin, with University City carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: University City enters at 42.0 points per game compared with 23.8 for Jennings. University City also allows 8.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -24.3 for University City and -15.6 for Jennings. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01University City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Jennings has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 30.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.