TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | South Shelby | Highland |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| PF / GAME | 22.8 | 20.2 |
| PA / GAME | 24.6 | 40.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -0.7 | -28.7 |
| SOS | -3.9 | +5.3 |
| POWER | -2.0 | -26.8 |
SOUTH SHELBY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
South Shelby finished the job, as South Shelby and Highland finished 43-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 34-20 final.
The actual margin was 43 points versus MOFO's 14.5-point projection. That produced a 28.5-point margin error, with score errors of 8.7 for South Shelby and 19.8 for Highland.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SOUTH SHELBY
MOFO leans toward South Shelby because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 24.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.5-point margin, with South Shelby carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: South Shelby enters at 22.8 points per game compared with 20.2 for Highland. South Shelby also allows 16.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.9 for South Shelby and +5.3 for Highland. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains medium.
01South Shelby owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Highland has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 24.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.